Brandon TurbevilleActivist Post
October 3, 2018
On May 8, 2018, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States will be pulling out of the “Iran Nuclear Deal” which was struck under the Obama administration, a deal that he has repeatedly called a “bad deal” and even “the single worst deal I’ve ever seen drawn by anybody.”
“The so-called Iran deal was supposed to protect the United States and our allies from the lunacy of an Iranian nuclear bomb, a weapon that will only endanger the survival of the Iranian regime,” the President said. “In fact, the deal allowed Iran to continue enriching uranium and over time reach the brink of a nuclear breakout.”
He added that “Today, we have definitive proof that this Iranian promise was a lie.”
Yet there was absolutely no evidence to back Trump up on his claims. Even Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and the Director of National Intelligence Daniel Coats have stated in the past that Iran was living up to its commitments. Still, Trump argued previously that, while Iran may be sticking to its commitments, it was violating the “spirit” of the agreement by “fostering discord” in the region.
This is highly ironic considering that the United States is the single biggest fosterer of discord in the Middle East alongside Israel. It’s also false that Iran had been “fostering discord” and that it was not living up to its end of the deal. It should also be pointed out that Iran was doing nothing wrong in terms of its nuclear program before the deal and should never have been bullied into signing it to begin with.
Thus, a sovereign country who has a right to pursue a nuclear energy program was told by aggressive nuclear states that it cannot be allowed to be armed in the same manner, develop an adequate energy program, or defend itself against the aggression of the very states marching across the region and repeatedly stating their desire to overthrow, destabilize, or invade Iran.
This move came as a shock to many people but, in reality, it shouldn't have. After all, the Iran deal itself was nothing more than the first step in the coming war on Iran. This can be seen clearly in the pages of the corporate-financier think tanks who develop and present US foreign and domestic policy. For instance, the Brookings Institution, as Tony Cartalucci writes, “whose corporate-financier sponsors include arms manufacturers Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and Raytheon, energy giants Exxon Mobil, BP, Aramco, and Chevron, and financiers including Bank of America, Citi, and numerous advisers and trustees provided by Goldman Sachs,” wrote in 2009 of the plan to use just such a “deal” to then justify military action against Iran.
Ever since the deal was torn up, the Trump administration has done nothing but engage in inciteful rhetoric (with one notable difference where Trump said he would be open to talking with Iranian leaders), veiled, and not so veiled threats against the Iranian government.
The Syria War Also A War On Iran
Written about since the PNAC documents in 1999 and discussed further in other “think tank” publications, the war on Syria should also be considered a war on Iran. Indeed, the goal of the Western establishment system has been to completely destroy all governments not entirely consumed and assimilated by it. Syria surely stands as one of the governments and Iran, despite its totalitarian government, stands in opposition to the Western Anglo-financier system by virtue of its state-owned bank, it’s opposition to Western imperialism, and its active opposition to Zionism and Israel.
Iraq, Libya, and Syria all stood in opposition to the same system and, for that reason, the first two were successfully destroyed. Syria, however, has confounded the Western imperialists, standing strong for nearly eight years and now standing on the cusp of a victory. Iran has always been slated to face the onslaught of Western militaries as soon as Syria was destroyed but the Syrian government and the Syrian people have caused the timeline to be significantly disrupted and derailed and soon to be defeated in their country.
The Anglo-American financier axis, by virtue of using mostly Sunni extremists for destabilization purposes or as proxy armies, have essentially divided the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and the “Arab world” into two parts; one working in tandem or under the control of the West and one in opposition to it. The former is, of course, Israel and the Gulf State feudal monarchies such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE. The latter, Iraq, Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah of Lebanon. To the anti-Western imperial axis we could add Libya and an increasingly uncooperative Egypt under Mubarak.
Having deposed Mubarak, destroyed Iraq and Libya, and attempting to destroy Syria, Iran is the treasured target of the Western war machine because, not only physically large and a strategic ally of Russia (the next target still), Iran is the head which, if cut off, would kill Hezbollah in Lebanon and thus remove an important obstacle to Israeli aggression and expansion in the region.
There are a number of reasons why the United States and the NATO imperial army would like to see Iran destroyed over the coming years. Geopolitical reasons are, of course, front and center.
On one level, the Israeli connection stands as one obvious reason the United States has maintained an anti-Iran posture for nearly two decades. Iran not only stands as a regional opponent to the whims and aims of the Israeli settler state, but it also bankrolls and supports one of the greatest forces of opposition to Israel directly. Indeed, Israel was humiliated by Hezbollah in front of the world in 2006. Thus, if Iran is destroyed, Hezbollah goes with it and two of Israel’s biggest and most effective opponents disappear from the game board.
Iran has also played a major role in the defeat of Western-backed terrorist elements in Syria. Now that that the terrorists are being mopped up, the West and Israel are left with actual Iranian military personnel and military installations much closer to Israel than they were before.
The United States also sees Iran as an opponent due to Iran’s resistance to the Anglo-American insistence on global hegemony of its “Western” system of financial and corporate overseers in a global plantation owned by a world oligarchy. Iran stands in opposition to the Western system because it refuses to engage in a system private central banking as well as corporate and private financier domination of its society and culture. Maintaining its own national bank has long been a source of irritation for Wall Street and City of London vampires eager to sink their fangs into the blood supply of every nation on earth as has its refusal to knuckle under to the destruction of its culture through insidious methods and its alliance with other opponents of the Western agenda.
Iran also remains a close Russian ally and the last domino that needs to fall before the great Anglo-American army can march forward directly into Russia and break the largest country in the world into “manageable” parts. Once Iran is destroyed, Russia will be largely isolated and left to face the NATO alliance which has been slowly surrounding Russia over the last two decades.
As Tony Cartalucci writes in his article, “America Planned To Break ‘Iran Nuclear Deal’ Years Before Signing It,”
The Shiite Crescent
Ironically, after fifteen years of US occupation which itself followed up the 1991 invasion and twelve years of horrific sanctions, Iraq is now more poised to become influenced by Iran than it ever has in modern history. Hezbollah is stronger now than it has ever been due to increased training and experience in Syria and an update in its military arsenal as well as increasing popularity amongst Shiites, Alawites, Sunnis, and Christians both in Lebanon and abroad. Iran has gained a substantial foothold in Syria as a result of the Western/Gulf, Israeli war on Syria which has forced a greater cooperation between the two countries which began as a result of necessity but has now developed to one of mutual self- interest. It is thus poetic justice that the relationship between Syria and Hezbollah, Syria and Iran, Iran and Iraq, and Iran and Yemen - all fears of the West, GCC, and Israel - have come to fruition as a result of their policies in the region.
The fear of the West has come to pass and that is one reason the US is so insistent on “checking Iran” in Syria. The “Shiite Crescent” has now been firmly carved and the West has no one to blame for “Iranian expansion” but itself.
The plan to “check” Iran in the region while the Saudis, Israelis, and Americans run rampant was brought to light with the release of a summary of diplomatic discussions between the Americans and Saudis in 2009 where the Saudis expressed concern that the “Shiite crescent” was becoming a “full moon.” The meeting was summarized in a classified telegram that was subsequently released by Wikileaks.
The meeting took place between Prince Muqrin bin Abdulaziz al-Saud, head of Saudi Arabia's external intelligence agency, the General Intelligence Presidency (GIP) and Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counter Terrorism John Brennan. During the course of this meeting, Muqrin bin Abdulaziz al-Saud stated that:
In the next section regarding Syria, the telegram stated:
The Brookings Institution Report – Which Path To Persia?
The plan for a Western or a Western/Israeli attack on Iran, along with the theatre of alleged US-Israeli tensions leading up to a strike and outright war, has been in the works for some time. For instance, in 2009, the Brookings Institution, a major banking, corporate, and military-industrial firm, released a report entitled “Which Path To Persia? Options For A New American Strategy For Iran,” in which the authors mapped out a plan which leaves no doubt as to the ultimate desire from the Western financier, corporate, and governing classes.
The Syria War Also A War On Iran
Written about since the PNAC documents in 1999 and discussed further in other “think tank” publications, the war on Syria should also be considered a war on Iran. Indeed, the goal of the Western establishment system has been to completely destroy all governments not entirely consumed and assimilated by it. Syria surely stands as one of the governments and Iran, despite its totalitarian government, stands in opposition to the Western Anglo-financier system by virtue of its state-owned bank, it’s opposition to Western imperialism, and its active opposition to Zionism and Israel.
Iraq, Libya, and Syria all stood in opposition to the same system and, for that reason, the first two were successfully destroyed. Syria, however, has confounded the Western imperialists, standing strong for nearly eight years and now standing on the cusp of a victory. Iran has always been slated to face the onslaught of Western militaries as soon as Syria was destroyed but the Syrian government and the Syrian people have caused the timeline to be significantly disrupted and derailed and soon to be defeated in their country.
The Anglo-American financier axis, by virtue of using mostly Sunni extremists for destabilization purposes or as proxy armies, have essentially divided the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and the “Arab world” into two parts; one working in tandem or under the control of the West and one in opposition to it. The former is, of course, Israel and the Gulf State feudal monarchies such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE. The latter, Iraq, Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah of Lebanon. To the anti-Western imperial axis we could add Libya and an increasingly uncooperative Egypt under Mubarak.
Having deposed Mubarak, destroyed Iraq and Libya, and attempting to destroy Syria, Iran is the treasured target of the Western war machine because, not only physically large and a strategic ally of Russia (the next target still), Iran is the head which, if cut off, would kill Hezbollah in Lebanon and thus remove an important obstacle to Israeli aggression and expansion in the region.
There are a number of reasons why the United States and the NATO imperial army would like to see Iran destroyed over the coming years. Geopolitical reasons are, of course, front and center.
On one level, the Israeli connection stands as one obvious reason the United States has maintained an anti-Iran posture for nearly two decades. Iran not only stands as a regional opponent to the whims and aims of the Israeli settler state, but it also bankrolls and supports one of the greatest forces of opposition to Israel directly. Indeed, Israel was humiliated by Hezbollah in front of the world in 2006. Thus, if Iran is destroyed, Hezbollah goes with it and two of Israel’s biggest and most effective opponents disappear from the game board.
Iran has also played a major role in the defeat of Western-backed terrorist elements in Syria. Now that that the terrorists are being mopped up, the West and Israel are left with actual Iranian military personnel and military installations much closer to Israel than they were before.
The United States also sees Iran as an opponent due to Iran’s resistance to the Anglo-American insistence on global hegemony of its “Western” system of financial and corporate overseers in a global plantation owned by a world oligarchy. Iran stands in opposition to the Western system because it refuses to engage in a system private central banking as well as corporate and private financier domination of its society and culture. Maintaining its own national bank has long been a source of irritation for Wall Street and City of London vampires eager to sink their fangs into the blood supply of every nation on earth as has its refusal to knuckle under to the destruction of its culture through insidious methods and its alliance with other opponents of the Western agenda.
Iran also remains a close Russian ally and the last domino that needs to fall before the great Anglo-American army can march forward directly into Russia and break the largest country in the world into “manageable” parts. Once Iran is destroyed, Russia will be largely isolated and left to face the NATO alliance which has been slowly surrounding Russia over the last two decades.
As Tony Cartalucci writes in his article, “America Planned To Break ‘Iran Nuclear Deal’ Years Before Signing It,”
Israel’s growing role in provoking both Iran and Syria is a signal of US desperation. Brookings and other analysts both for and against US aggression toward Iran note that Israel itself is incapable of toppling the governments residing in either Damascus or Tehran. Israel’s role instead is to provoke a conflict and retaliation – or even stage what appears to be Syrian or Iranian retaliation – to then draw in the United States who may be capable of toppling either or both governments.
Russia’s presence in Syria from 2015 onward has greatly complicated even this plan – which was written out in great detail in Brookings’ 2009 policy paper. Brookings policymakers seemed to have laid out a plan that was clearly put in motion – but a plan that never considered the possibility of Russia intervening directly in the Middle East and placing itself between both Syria and Iran and nearly two decades of US regime change across the region.
America’s clumsy warmongering represents an agenda with massive momentum that has jumped the proverbial tracks and through its mass and speed alone continues traveling forward.
For Syria, Iran, and all other nations sure to be targeted next should either or both nations fall to US military aggression and global hegemony – managing America’s derailed agenda and minimizing the damage it causes while gradually grinding it to a halt will require patience, persistence, and unfortunately many years more of conflict, chaos, and loss of life.
That the US is pursuing a similar agenda through similar means in Eastern Europe vis-a-vis Russia and in Asia Pacific vis-a-vis China will jeopardize global peace and stability for years to come.
Preventing the US from sparking a wider conflict in the Middle East or through more patient and persistent means achieve its goals by partitioning territory and perpetuating bloodshed – will be key to undermining its efforts in Eastern Europe and Asia Pacific, as well as transitioning away from a Washington-dominated unipolar world order, toward a greater balance of global multipolar power.
The Shiite Crescent
Ironically, after fifteen years of US occupation which itself followed up the 1991 invasion and twelve years of horrific sanctions, Iraq is now more poised to become influenced by Iran than it ever has in modern history. Hezbollah is stronger now than it has ever been due to increased training and experience in Syria and an update in its military arsenal as well as increasing popularity amongst Shiites, Alawites, Sunnis, and Christians both in Lebanon and abroad. Iran has gained a substantial foothold in Syria as a result of the Western/Gulf, Israeli war on Syria which has forced a greater cooperation between the two countries which began as a result of necessity but has now developed to one of mutual self- interest. It is thus poetic justice that the relationship between Syria and Hezbollah, Syria and Iran, Iran and Iraq, and Iran and Yemen - all fears of the West, GCC, and Israel - have come to fruition as a result of their policies in the region.
The fear of the West has come to pass and that is one reason the US is so insistent on “checking Iran” in Syria. The “Shiite Crescent” has now been firmly carved and the West has no one to blame for “Iranian expansion” but itself.
The plan to “check” Iran in the region while the Saudis, Israelis, and Americans run rampant was brought to light with the release of a summary of diplomatic discussions between the Americans and Saudis in 2009 where the Saudis expressed concern that the “Shiite crescent” was becoming a “full moon.” The meeting was summarized in a classified telegram that was subsequently released by Wikileaks.
The meeting took place between Prince Muqrin bin Abdulaziz al-Saud, head of Saudi Arabia's external intelligence agency, the General Intelligence Presidency (GIP) and Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counter Terrorism John Brennan. During the course of this meeting, Muqrin bin Abdulaziz al-Saud stated that:
Prince Muqrin described Iran as "all over the place now." The "Shiite crescent is becoming a full moon," encompassing Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Bahrain, Kuwait and Yemen among Iran,s targets. In the Kingdom, he said "we have problems in Medina and Eastern Province." When asked if he saw Iran,s hand in last month's Medina Riots (reftels), he strongly affirmed his belief that they were "definitely" Iranian supported. (Comment: Muqrin's view was not necessarily supported by post's Saudi Shi'a sources.) Muqrin bluntly stated "Iran is becoming a pain in the..." and he expressed hope the President "can get them straight, or straighten them out."
In the next section regarding Syria, the telegram stated:
Brennan asked Muqrin if he believed the Syrians were interested in improving relations with the United States. "I can't say anything positive or negative," he replied, declining to give an opinion. Muqrin observed that the Syrians would not detach from Iran without "a supplement." He moved on to express Saudi concern over Lebanon’s upcoming elections. He mused about the Syrian-backed parties creating a "majority by attrition" by assassinating anti-Syria politicians. Without direct evidence of this, he said, it was necessary "to look at who is benefiting." Brennan asked if Syria could be helpful with Hamas, to which Muqrin suggested that Hamas "has already bypassed Syria," implying that Hamas now works directly with Iran.
The Brookings Institution Report – Which Path To Persia?
The plan for a Western or a Western/Israeli attack on Iran, along with the theatre of alleged US-Israeli tensions leading up to a strike and outright war, has been in the works for some time. For instance, in 2009, the Brookings Institution, a major banking, corporate, and military-industrial firm, released a report entitled “Which Path To Persia? Options For A New American Strategy For Iran,” in which the authors mapped out a plan which leaves no doubt as to the ultimate desire from the Western financier, corporate, and governing classes.
The plan involves the description of a number of ways the Western oligarchy would be able to destroy Iran including outright military invasion and occupation. However, the report attempts to outline a number of methods that might possibly be implemented before direct military invasion would be necessary. The plan included attempting to foment destabilization inside Iran via the color revolution apparatus, violent unrest, proxy terrorism, and “limited airstrikes” conducted by the US, Israel or both.
Interestingly enough, the report states that any action taken against Iran must be done after the idea that Iran has rejected a fair and generous offer by the West has been disseminated throughout the general public. The report reads,
…any military operation against Iran will likely be very unpopular around the world and require the proper international context— both to ensure the logistical support the operation would require and to minimize the blowback from it. The best way to minimize international opprobrium and maximize support (however, grudging or covert) is to strike only when there is a widespread conviction that the Iranians were given but then rejected a superb offer—one so good that only a regime determined to acquire nuclear weapons and acquire them for the wrong reasons would turn it down. Under those circumstances, the United States (or Israel) could portray its operations as taken in sorrow, not anger, and at least some in the international community would conclude that the Iranians “brought it on themselves” by refusing a very good deal.
From the writings of Brookings, it is readily apparent for all to see what the latest browbeating over the “terrible” Iran deal and how the Iranians are not living up to their obligations under the agreement coming from the Trump administration are all about. The United States has bullied Iran into accepting a deal it should never have had to agree to in the first place and now the U.S. is attempting to add restrictions and obligations that were never part of the deal to begin with and/or claim that Iran is not living up to its end of the deal. If Iran refuses to comply with the additional mandates or if the world is susceptible enough to the American and Israeli propaganda attempting to paint Iran as uncooperative, Iran will be painted as having refused “a very good deal.” As the report states, any action taken against Iran must be done after the idea that Iran has rejected a fair and generous offer by the West has been disseminated throughout the general public. For that reason, the idea is being promulgated that Iran was offered a great deal at the disadvantage of the United States but Iran would not abide by even this agreement, continuing to insist on gaining nuclear weapons to destroy the U.S. and poor innocent Israel, forcing America’s hand after diplomacy failed.
Ironically, it is admitted by the authors of the report that the Iranians are not governed by lunatics intent on nuking the world but by entirely rational players. Still, they move forward with a number of options for attacking Iran. It should thus be obvious to anyone reading this report that the US, NATO, and Israel are uninterested in peace with Iran and are entirely focused on war and Iranian destruction.
“The so-called “Iran deal,” introduced during the administration of US President Barack Obama, represents precisely this “superb offer,” with Flynn’s accusations serving as the “turn down” ahead of the “sorrowful” war and attempted regime change the US had always planned to target Tehran with,” writes Tony Cartalucci of Land Destroyer Report.
The report continues to discuss the citations that could be used for an attack on Iran, clearly stating its intentions to create a plan to goad a non-threatening nation into war. It states,
The truth is that these all would be challenging cases to make. For that reason, it would be far more preferable if the United States could cite an Iranian provocation as justification for the airstrikes before launching them. Clearly, the more outrageous, the more deadly, and the more unprovoked the Iranian action, the better off the United States would be. Of course, it would be very difficult for the United States to goad Iran into such a provocation without the rest of the world recognizing this game, which would then undermine it. (One method that would have some possibility of success would be to ratchet up covert regime change efforts in the hope that Tehran would retaliate overtly, or even semi-overtly, which could then be portrayed as an unprovoked act of Iranian aggression.)
The question of the Israeli role in the possible attack against Iran is also mentioned by Brookings. In fact, in the chapter entitled, “Allowing or Encouraging An Israeli Military Strike,” Brookings not only outlines a potential strategy but essentially admits that the US-Israeli tension being hyped in the Western media is nothing more than a farce. Moreover, it discusses the possibility of Israel taking the lead in an attack against Iran, knowing that the U.S. would be drawn in under the guise of "defending" Israel. With an American public so thoroughly brainwashed to believe it is the religious duty of Christians to act as the sword Israel, it might very well be successful propaganda. Israel, of course, is adept at using its symbiotic relationship with the U.S., always ready to fight and die to the last American. In Chapter 5: entitled "Leave It To Bibi: Allowing Or Encouraging An Israeli Military Strike," the document states,
..the most salient advantage this option has over that of an American air campaign is the possibility that Israel alone would be blamed for the attack. If this proves true, then the United States might not have to deal with Iranian retaliation or the diplomatic backlash that would accompany an American military operation against Iran. It could allow Washington to have its cake (delay Iran’s acquisition of a nuclear weapon) and eat it, too (avoid undermining many other U.S. regional diplomatic initiatives).
The Which Path to Persia document also contained a section dedicated to the overthrow of the Iranian government via “soft power” means. In a section titled, “THE VELVET REVOLUTION: Supporting A Popular Uprising,” the paper reads,
Because the Iranian regime is widely disliked by many Iranians, the most obvious and palatable method of bringing about its demise would be to help foster a popular revolution along the lines of the “velvet revolutions” that toppled many communist governments in Eastern Europe beginning in 1989. For many proponents of regime change, it seems self-evident that the United States should encourage the Iranian people to take power in their own name, and that this would be the most legitimate method of regime change. After all, what Iranian or foreigner could object to helping the Iranian people fulfill their own desires?
. . . . .
The true objective of this policy option is to overthrow the clerical regime in Tehran and see it replaced, hopefully, by one whose views would be more compatible with U.S. interests in the region.
Interestingly enough, the paper continues by discussing some of the exact methods to be used against Iran in the coming “velvet revolution” as well as some of the methods that are currently being used to those ends. The paper reads,
The United States could play multiple roles in facilitating a revolution. By funding and helping organize domestic rivals of the regime, the United States could create an alternative leadership to seize power. As Raymond Tanter of the Iran Policy Committee argues, students and other groups “need covert backing for their demonstrations. They need fax machines. They need Internet access, funds to duplicate materials, and funds to keep vigilantes from beating them up.” Beyond this, U.S.-backed media outlets could highlight regime shortcomings and make otherwise obscure critics more prominent. The United States already supports Persian language satellite television (Voice of America Persian) and radio (Radio Farda) that bring unfiltered news to Iranians (in recent years, these have taken the lion’s share of overt U.S. funding for promoting democracy in Iran). U.S. economic pressure (and perhaps military pressure as well) can discredit the regime, making the population hungry for a rival leadership.
Under another section entitled “Finding the right proxies,” the paper lists “intellectuals,” “students,” “labor and civil society organizations.”
In another section of the paper, Brookings discusses the possibility of initiating a military intervention in support of the “revolution” Western powers have instigated on the ground. Found in the “Military Intervention” section of the paper, Brookings writes,
...if the United States ever succeeds in sparking a revolt against the clerical regime, Washington may have to consider whether to provide it with some form of military support to prevent Tehran from crushing it.
. . . . .
...if the United States is to pursue this policy, Washington must take this possibility into consideration. It adds some very important requirements to the list: either the policy must include ways to weaken the Iranian military or weaken the willingness of the regime’s leaders to call on the military, or else the United States must be ready to intervene to defeat it.
As Tony Cartalucci writes,
In essence, Brookings quickly admits that its "velvet revolution" would be the fulfillment of Washington's desires, not the Iranian people's - pursued merely under the guise of helping Iranians fulfill their own desires. As the CIA itself admits in its own historical records that US "interests in the region" are based on economic exploitation and the enrichment of Wall Street and Washington, not lifting up, empowering, or enriching the Iranian people.
It is an open admission regarding US designs for Iran demonstrated on multiple occasions elsewhere from Iraq to Libya to Syria to Ukraine and Yemen - what is promoted as progressive political revolution supported by the "democratic" West is in fact the destruction and subjugation of a nation, its people, and its resources at the cost of global peace and prosperity.
In addition to direct military invasion and “velvet revolution” through soft power, Brookings discusses the possibility of creating an “armed insurrection.” The paper reads:
As much as many Americans might like to help the Iranian people rise up and take their destiny in their own hands, the evidence suggests that its likelihood is low—and that American assistance could well make it less likely rather than more. Consequently, some who favor fomenting regime change in Iran argue that it is utopian to hold out hope for a velvet revolution; instead, they contend that the United States should turn to Iranian opposition groups that already exist, that already have demonstrated a desire to fight the regime, and who appear willing to accept U.S. assistance.
In this discussion, Brookings points to the MEK radical Marxist terrorist group tacitly supported by the United States and Israel. It should be noted that the MEK was removed from the U.S. list of terrorist organizations in 2012. The paper states,
Perhaps the most prominent (and certainly the most controversial) opposition group that has attracted attention as a potential U.S. proxy is the NCRI (National Council of Resistance of Iran), the political movement established by the MEK (Mujahedin-e Khalq).
. . . . . .
...the MEK remains on the U.S. government list of foreign terrorist organizations. In the 1970s, the group killed three U.S. officers and three civilian contractors in Iran. During the 1979-1980 hostage crisis, the group praised the decision to take American hostages and Elaine Sciolino reported that while group leaders publicly condemned the 9/11 attacks, within the group celebrations were widespread. Undeniably, the group has conducted terrorist attacks—often excused by the MEK’s advocates because they are directed against the Iranian government. For example, in 1981, the group bombed the headquarters of the Islamic Republic Party, which was then the clerical leadership’s main political organization, killing an estimated 70 senior officials. More recently, the group has claimed credit for over a dozen mortar attacks, assassinations, and other assaults on Iranian civilian and military targets between 1998 and 2001. At the very least, to work more closely with the group (at least in an overt manner), Washington would need to remove it from the list of foreign terrorist organizations.
The report also mentions briefly the need for the cooperation of neighboring states. It states,
Of equal importance (and potential difficulty) will be finding a neighboring country willing to serve as the conduit for U.S. aid to the insurgent group, as well as to provide a safe haven where the group can train, plan, organize, heal, and resupply...
...without such a partner, it would be far more difficult for the United States to support an insurgency. One thing that the United States would have in its favor when searching for a state to play this role is that many of Iran’s neighbors dislike and fear the Islamic Republic.
. . . . . .
Properly executed, covert support to an insurgency would provide the United States with “plausible deniability.” As a result, the diplomatic and political backlash would likely be much less than if the United States were to mount a direct military action.
Of course, the United States has already established willing partners neighboring Iran. Afghanistan, particularly, which the U.S. invaded in 2001 and where it remains to this day seventeen years later, is a perfect conduit for supporting an “armed insurgency” as well as a direct military invasion. Pakistan also serves as an easily managed conduit nation. Iraq also stands as another country the U.S. invaded in 2003 and fifteen years later, still remains. This is one of several reasons why Iran has involved itself so heavily in both Iraq and Syria.
“Of course,” Cartalucci writes, “Brookings' own publicly-published conspiracy coupled together with the US' demonstrated use of proxies in Syria, Iraq, Libya, Yemen, and now Iran, lays bare this strategy and mitigates whatever "plausible deniability" Washington hoped to maintain.”
“Regardless,” says Cartalucci, “the West, through its formidable influence in the media, will attempt to maintain plausible deniability regarding US involvement in Iranian unrest until the last possible moment - not unlike how it hid its role in executing the so-called "Arab Spring" during its opening phases despite plotting and organizing the mayhem years in advance.”
But Brookings admits that it might not be necessary to completely destroy Iran or even to overthrow the government. Instead, it suggests that it may be worthwhile to simply keep the government under constant pressure. Brookings writes,
...even if U.S. support for an insurgency failed to produce the overthrow of the regime, it could still place Tehran under considerable pressure, which might either prevent the regime from making mischief abroad or persuade it to make concessions on issues of importance to the United States (such as its nuclear program and support to Hamas, Hizballah, and the Taliban). Indeed, Washington might decide that this second objective is a more compelling rationale for supporting an insurgency than the (much less likely) goal of actually overthrowing the regime.
Indeed, a weakened Iran continuously occupied with internal disputes, protests, and social unrest may very well serve as an acceptable Plan B for the authors of the Brookings report as well as the intended audience.
Destabilizing Iran Is Nothing New
Attempts at destabilizing the Iranian government are by no means anything new. In 2009, the United States attempted to engineer a color revolution in Iran known as the Green Movement or Green Revolution. The color revolution was quickly put down by the iron fist of the Iranian government and Iran remained free of internal strife until 2018 when the U.S. once again attempted to stir up popular sentiment against the Iranian government. Again, the government was able to quickly quell the revolt which itself was much smaller than the 2009 version.
Tony Cartalucci of Land Destroyer Report also discusses the indirect role of the United States in the Iranian 1979 Revolution due to the revolution itself being a reaction to decades of American meddling in Iran. Indeed, American destabilization methods go all the way back to 1953, when the United States overthrow the Iranian President Mohammad Mosadegh and installed the repressive Shah.
Cartalucci writes,
While pro-war circles in the US claim the 1979 Iranian Revolution was an instance of Iran drawing first blood, the revolution was in fact a direct response to then already decades of US meddling in Iran stretching back as early as 1953 with the US Central Intelligence Agency's Operation AJAX.
Regarding Operation AJAX, in an entry on the CIA's own website titled, "All the Shah's Men: An American Coup and the Roots of Middle East Terror," it admits (emphasis added):
The target was not an oppressive Soviet puppet but a democratically elected government whose populist ideology and nationalist fervor threatened Western economic and geopolitical interests. The CIA's covert intervention—codenamed TPAJAX—preserved the Shah's power and protected Western control of a hugely lucrative oil infrastructure. It also transformed a turbulent constitutional monarchy into an absolutist kingship and induced a succession of unintended consequences at least as far ahead as the Islamic revolution of 1979—and, Kinzer argues in his breezily written, well-researched popular history, perhaps to today.
The article - a review by the CIA's own history staff of a book regarding Operation AJAX - admits that US policy regarding Iran merely picked up where the British Empire left off in an effort to reassert rapidly-slipping Western control over the globe. In no way was US efforts to undermine and control the government of Iran described in terms of protecting US national security or promoting democracy - and in fact was characterized instead as undermining Iranian self-determination.
It is this admission that reveals the core truth of today's tensions between Iran and the United States. The West still seeks to reassert itself and its economic interests in the Middle East. Notions of "freedom," "democracy," as well as threats of "terrorism," "nuclear holocaust," and even the ongoing conflict with nearby Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other Persian Gulf States are but facades behind which this self-serving neo-imperial agenda is pursued.
Conclusion
The plan to bring Iran to its knees is no doubt continuing. Indeed, a plan that has seen such massive amounts of commitment, spanning decades of administrations, is not likely to be abandoned anytime soon. After all, the United States recently announced that it will not be leaving Syria and essentially admitted that it will continue to support the creation of Kurdistan. As documents, think tanks, and important geostrategic actors have repeatedly demonstrated through their writings, Iran remains an immensely important target. The Iranian front may be quiet today but the rumblings of war grow louder each time Israel launches more illegal attacks on Iranian forces in Syria.
Indeed, the US continues to rattle its sabers as loudly as it can whether they are being rattled by clueless harpie Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, John Bolton or any other member of Trump’s neo-Con cabinet warning of “dire consequences” for Iran if the country has the audacity to continue to exist.
Thus, while the world hears rumblings of war on the Iranian front, it appears that, if the United States, NATO, GCC, and Israel have anything to say about it, those rumblings will soon turn in to bombs.
Brandon Turbeville writes for Activist Post – article archive here – He is the author of seven books, Codex Alimentarius — The End of Health Freedom, 7 Real Conspiracies, Five Sense Solutions and Dispatches From a Dissident, volume 1 and volume 2, The Road to Damascus: The Anglo-American Assault on Syria, The Difference it Makes: 36 Reasons Why Hillary Clinton Should Never Be President, and Resisting The Empire: The Plan To Destroy Syria And How The Future Of The World Depends On The Outcome. Turbeville has published over 1000 articles on a wide variety of subjects including health, economics, government corruption, and civil liberties. Brandon Turbeville’s radio show Truth on The Tracks can be found every Monday night 9 pm EST at UCYTV. His website is BrandonTurbeville.com He is available for radio and TV interviews. Please contact activistpost (at) gmail.com.
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